D09 final draft, 16 September 2026. Back to the folder · Start here
D09 · Revenue Opportunity Map · EKU Power Drives · Final draft · 16 Sep 2026

Power Generation carries about 60% of the pipeline and the only large deal. With a 4.5-month close, what starts in October is the first-half 2027 revenue.

Ranked by value and by timing, using the pipeline shape EKU provided, on top of the demand-side ranking delivered earlier. Nothing here is a forecast: the value figures are arithmetic on client-provided counts and typical deal sizes, labeled as such.

29
Opportunities in the pipeline as described: 20 small, 8 medium, 1 large
Founder input, 16 Sep 2026 · pending written confirmation
4.5 mo
Typical time to close, any size
Founder input, 16 Sep 2026
60 / 30 / 10
Share by segment: Power Generation (about 10 projects) / oil and gas / mining
Founder input, 16 Sep 2026
No cap
Delivery capacity is not a constraint on closing more
Founder input, 16 Sep 2026
Pipeline shape

Twenty small deals are worth less than two medium ones. One large deal is worth the rest of the pipeline combined.

Typical size × count

Large · $20M · 1 deal
$20M
Medium · $1.5M · 8 deals
$12M
Small · $100K · 20 deals
$2M
Arithmetic on client-provided typical sizes and counts (16 Sep 2026): about $34M of pipeline as described. Not weighted by probability; not a forecast. Bars proportional to value.

By segment, as provided

Power Generation · 60%
Oil & gas · 30%
Mining

Power Generation is about ten projects and the majority of value; it is also the segment with the open proof gap (no published mixed-brand case with numbers). Oil and gas is the Houston home market with a live fleet analysis in the field. Mining is the smallest share and the strongest existing proof (idle management, FLANDERS).

Segment shares: founder input, 16 Sep 2026. Proof status: case-study landscape, 24 brands, Sep 2026; field questionnaires, Sep 2026.
The clock

A 4.5-month close means October conversations land in mid-February; anything opened after the December budget lands in May.

Oct 1 · site live, evidence hub openMid-Feb 2027 · October starts closeMid-May · January starts closeQ3 2027

The implication for the 2027 budget: the commercial system has to be operating in October to produce first-half 2027 closes. A hiring cycle plus ramp (3 to 6 months) pushes the first influenced close into the second half. Capacity is not the constraint; time to first conversation is.

Time to close: founder input, 16 Sep 2026, any size. Milestones from the roadmap (D10). Working Hypothesis on the calendar; no result is claimed before it is measured.
The map · value × demand × proof × channel

Five opportunity types, ranked. Value from the pipeline shape; demand from measured search; proof and channel from the field.

RankOpportunity typeValue signalDemand signal (measured)Proof todayPrimary channelPriority
1Power Generation · mixed-brand site retrofit (Maximus + Sophia)~60% of pipeline; the one large deal; medium deals cluster hereOpen doors: generator monitoring system 320/mo, generator control panel 260/mo, power plant control system 170/mo, remote generator monitoring 140/mo; EKU ranks for noneGap: no published case with numbers. Case customer identified (card 8)Packagers (~70% of revenue) + direct operatorsP0
2Oil & gas · engine-driven compression and oilfield fleets (Houston)~30% of pipeline; medium and small dealsBrand-led searches ("cat / generac generator remote monitoring"): intercept-page opportunitiesStrong existing cases; US fleet analysis live in the field (account seller)Direct + integratorsP1
3Packager sales play · Maximus specified through packagersCuts across segments; the channel truthNot search-led; enablement-ledEnablement kit spec ready (D08); two partners named for DecemberPackagersP1
4Mining · idle management and fleet sensors~10% of pipeline; small dealsidle management: EKU on page 1, 20/mo; mining conversations open with itStrongest proof (FLANDERS, Africa landing); second case candidate Feb 2027Partner (FLANDERS) + directP2 · protect
5Data centers · orchestration for large loadsNot in the current pipelinedata center power solutions 1,300/mo, 100% occupied by enterprise playersNone; segment not yet confirmed as served; EnergyFluo and Pramac Link publishing hereHold until the data-center brief is signedHold

Demand figures: Kanbina Lumina keyword-demand analysis, 10 to 13 Aug 2026, modeled U.S. monthly searches, directional. Value and segment shares: founder input, 16 Sep 2026. Channel share (~70% via packagers): stakeholder interview, 24 Jul 2026, client-provided context.

What moves each

Rank 1 needs one number. Rank 2 needs intercept pages. Rank 3 needs two partners. Rank 4 needs protecting, not spending.

P0 · Power Generation

The case customer's one measured result (card 8) and the open evidence hub (card 10). Both are October items; both are what the large deal and the eight medium deals will be compared against.

P1 · Oil & gas

Three intercept pages on brand-led monitoring searches (D07 layer 1), and the account seller's fleet analysis turned into a Texas profile with the named engineer (PR map tier 3).

P1 · Packagers

The enablement kit tested with one packager in November, two partners activated in December, partner-list visibility decided by leadership (D08 gate).

P2 · Mining

Keep the page-1 position, say idle management early in every mining conversation, and let the Mining Indaba talk produce the second case. No new spend.

In closing

Strategic conclusion

The money and the proof gap sit in the same place: Power Generation. Closing the gap there moves the largest share of value and the only large deal; everything else is protection or channel leverage.

Commercial implication

With a 4.5-month close and no capacity constraint, the binding limit is when the first conversation starts. October activity is first-half 2027 revenue; a hiring-cycle delay pushes it to the second half.

Recommended use

Use the ranking to order the roadmap and the 2027 budget line; use the shape section as the baseline the CRM export replaces when it arrives.

Validation status

Pipeline counts, sizes, segment shares and time to close: founder input, verbal, 16 Sep 2026, pending written confirmation; the "20 small" count is to be reconfirmed. Demand figures measured and dated. Priorities: Working Hypothesis until the priority stack (D11) is agreed.